Difference between revisions of "Speculative timeline of future malaria events"

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! Year !! Event type !! Details !! Location !! Predictor !! Date of prediction
 
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| 2020 || Diagnosis || A diagnostic tool consisting in the first ever saliva-based rapid diagnostic test (RDT) is expected to start field trials being rolled out in the {{w|Democratic Republic of Congo}} or {{w|Uganda}} in the second quarter of this year.<ref name="thejournalofmhealth.com">{{cite web |title=Funding Aids Development of Saliva-based Diagnostic Tool in Bid to Rid World of Malaria |url=https://thejournalofmhealth.com/funding-aids-development-of-saliva-based-diagnostic-tool-in-bid-to-rid-world-of-malaria/ |website=thejournalofmhealth.com |accessdate=10 November 2019}}</ref> || {{w|Democratic Republic of Congo}}, {{w|Uganda}}
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| 2020 || Diagnosis || A diagnostic tool consisting in the first ever saliva-based rapid diagnostic test (RDT) is expected to start field trials being rolled out in the {{w|Democratic Republic of Congo}} or {{w|Uganda}} in the second quarter of this year.<ref name="thejournalofmhealth.com">{{cite web |title=Funding Aids Development of Saliva-based Diagnostic Tool in Bid to Rid World of Malaria |url=https://thejournalofmhealth.com/funding-aids-development-of-saliva-based-diagnostic-tool-in-bid-to-rid-world-of-malaria/ |website=thejournalofmhealth.com |accessdate=10 November 2019}}</ref> || {{w|Democratic Republic of Congo}}, {{w|Uganda}} || ||
 
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| 2021 || Eradication || {{w|Zambia}} aims to eliminate malaria by this year.<ref>{{cite web |title=Zambia aims to eradicate malaria by 2021: health minister |url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-zambia-malaria/zambia-aims-to-eradicate-malaria-by-2021-health-minister-idUSKBN1JN1YA |website=reuters.com |accessdate=10 November 2019}}</ref> || {{w|Zambia}}
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| 2021 || Eradication || {{w|Zambia}} aims to eliminate malaria by this year.<ref>{{cite web |title=Zambia aims to eradicate malaria by 2021: health minister |url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-zambia-malaria/zambia-aims-to-eradicate-malaria-by-2021-health-minister-idUSKBN1JN1YA |website=reuters.com |accessdate=10 November 2019}}</ref> || {{w|Zambia}} || [[w:Ministry of Health (Zambia)|Ministry of Health]] || June 27, 2018
 
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| 2021 || Diagnosis || The world’s first ever saliva-based rapid diagnostic test (RDT) is expected to be launched by this year by South Africa-based Erada Technology Alliance, in collaboration with international partners CellFree Sciences, Frontier Institute, Johns Hopkins University and Oasis Diagnostics.<ref name="thejournalofmhealth.com"/> || {{w|Africa}}
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| 2021 || Diagnosis || The world’s first ever saliva-based rapid diagnostic test (RDT) is expected to be launched by this year by South Africa-based Erada Technology Alliance, in collaboration with international partners CellFree Sciences, Frontier Institute, Johns Hopkins University and Oasis Diagnostics.<ref name="thejournalofmhealth.com"/> || {{w|Africa}} || ||
 
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| 2021 || Treatment || London based medical device company MediSieve aims to launch a magnetic blood filter intended to enable doctors to remove infected red blood cells from the bloodstream directly, thus reducing parasitaemia, which would result in the usage of fewer IV drugs while minimizing hospital time – leading to cost savings.<ref>{{cite web |title=World Malaria Day: Five latest devices to combat the spread of malaria |url=https://www.nsmedicaldevices.com/news/world-malaria-day-devices-combat-malaria/ |website=nsmedicaldevices.com |accessdate=10 November 2019}}</ref> || {{w|United Kingdom}}
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| 2021 || Treatment || London based medical device company MediSieve aims to launch a magnetic blood filter intended to enable doctors to remove infected red blood cells from the bloodstream directly, thus reducing parasitaemia, which would result in the usage of fewer IV drugs while minimizing hospital time – leading to cost savings.<ref>{{cite web |title=World Malaria Day: Five latest devices to combat the spread of malaria |url=https://www.nsmedicaldevices.com/news/world-malaria-day-devices-combat-malaria/ |website=nsmedicaldevices.com |accessdate=10 November 2019}}</ref> || {{w|United Kingdom}} || ||
 
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| 2040 || Eradication || Study finds that achieving malaria eradication by this year would prevent approximately 841 million cases of malaria and thereby decrease the number of lost workdays among agricultural households by approximately 3.2 billion days. It would also increase the number of school days attended by children by 1.5 billion days while also reducing the number of caregiving days provided by women for malaria cases by approximately 1.1 billion days.<ref>{{cite journal |last1=Willis |first1=Derek W. |last2=Hamon |first2=Nick |title=Eliminating malaria by 2040 among agricultural households in Africa: potential impact on health, labor productivity, education and gender equality |doi=10.12688/gatesopenres.12843.2 | url=https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6266653/ |accessdate=10 November 2019}}</ref> || {{w|Worldwide}}
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| 2040 || Eradication || Study finds that achieving malaria eradication by this year would prevent approximately 841 million cases of malaria and thereby decrease the number of lost workdays among agricultural households by approximately 3.2 billion days. It would also increase the number of school days attended by children by 1.5 billion days while also reducing the number of caregiving days provided by women for malaria cases by approximately 1.1 billion days.<ref>{{cite journal |last1=Willis |first1=Derek W. |last2=Hamon |first2=Nick |title=Eliminating malaria by 2040 among agricultural households in Africa: potential impact on health, labor productivity, education and gender equality |doi=10.12688/gatesopenres.12843.2 | url=https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6266653/ |accessdate=10 November 2019}}</ref> || {{w|Worldwide}} || ||
 
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| 2050 || Eradication || Global malaria eradication could be achieved by this time, according to a coalition of 41 leading scientists, economists and health-policy experts writing in the Lancet.<ref>{{cite web |title=It's 'Ambitious' — But Possible — to Eradicate Malaria by 2050, According to a Landmark Report |url=https://time.com/5669743/malaria-eradication-report/ |website=time.com |accessdate=10 November 2019}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Malaria Could be Eradicated By 2050, Global Health Experts Say |url=https://www.ucsf.edu/news/2019/09/415341/malaria-could-be-eradicated-2050-global-health-experts-say |website=ucsf.edu |accessdate=10 November 2019}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |last1=Mahase |first1=Elisabeth |title=Malaria could be eradicated by 2050, say global experts |doi=10.1136/bmj.l5501 |url=https://www.bmj.com/content/366/bmj.l5501}}</ref> || {{w|Worldwide}}
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| 2050 || Eradication || Global malaria eradication could be achieved by this time, according to a coalition of 41 leading scientists, economists and health-policy experts writing in the Lancet.<ref>{{cite web |title=It's 'Ambitious' — But Possible — to Eradicate Malaria by 2050, According to a Landmark Report |url=https://time.com/5669743/malaria-eradication-report/ |website=time.com |accessdate=10 November 2019}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Malaria Could be Eradicated By 2050, Global Health Experts Say |url=https://www.ucsf.edu/news/2019/09/415341/malaria-could-be-eradicated-2050-global-health-experts-say |website=ucsf.edu |accessdate=10 November 2019}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |last1=Mahase |first1=Elisabeth |title=Malaria could be eradicated by 2050, say global experts |doi=10.1136/bmj.l5501 |url=https://www.bmj.com/content/366/bmj.l5501}}</ref> || {{w|Worldwide}} || ||
 
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| 2050 || Epidemic || The {{w|World Health Organization}}’s Strategic Advisory Group on Malaria Eradication (SAGEme) estimates that under even with the most optimistic scenarios, in 2050 there would still be 11 million malaria cases annually in malaria’s epicenter, Africa.<ref>{{cite web |title=Malaria Eradication Feasible by 2050, Says New Lancet Report |url=https://www.healthpolicy-watch.org/malaria-eradication-feasible-by-2050-says-new-lancet-commission-report/ |website=healthpolicy-watch.org |accessdate=10 November 2019}}</ref> || {{w|Africa}}
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| 2050 || Epidemic || The {{w|World Health Organization}}’s Strategic Advisory Group on Malaria Eradication (SAGEme) estimates that under even with the most optimistic scenarios, in 2050 there would still be 11 million malaria cases annually in malaria’s epicenter, Africa.<ref>{{cite web |title=Malaria Eradication Feasible by 2050, Says New Lancet Report |url=https://www.healthpolicy-watch.org/malaria-eradication-feasible-by-2050-says-new-lancet-commission-report/ |website=healthpolicy-watch.org |accessdate=10 November 2019}}</ref> || {{w|Africa}} || ||
 
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Revision as of 10:36, 10 November 2019

This is a speculative timeline of future malaria events, attempting to describe estimates of future events related to the malaria disease.

Big picture

Time period Development summary More details

Full timeline

Year Event type Details Location Predictor Date of prediction
2020 Diagnosis A diagnostic tool consisting in the first ever saliva-based rapid diagnostic test (RDT) is expected to start field trials being rolled out in the Democratic Republic of Congo or Uganda in the second quarter of this year.[1] Democratic Republic of Congo, Uganda
2021 Eradication Zambia aims to eliminate malaria by this year.[2] Zambia Ministry of Health June 27, 2018
2021 Diagnosis The world’s first ever saliva-based rapid diagnostic test (RDT) is expected to be launched by this year by South Africa-based Erada Technology Alliance, in collaboration with international partners CellFree Sciences, Frontier Institute, Johns Hopkins University and Oasis Diagnostics.[1] Africa
2021 Treatment London based medical device company MediSieve aims to launch a magnetic blood filter intended to enable doctors to remove infected red blood cells from the bloodstream directly, thus reducing parasitaemia, which would result in the usage of fewer IV drugs while minimizing hospital time – leading to cost savings.[3] United Kingdom
2040 Eradication Study finds that achieving malaria eradication by this year would prevent approximately 841 million cases of malaria and thereby decrease the number of lost workdays among agricultural households by approximately 3.2 billion days. It would also increase the number of school days attended by children by 1.5 billion days while also reducing the number of caregiving days provided by women for malaria cases by approximately 1.1 billion days.[4] Worldwide
2050 Eradication Global malaria eradication could be achieved by this time, according to a coalition of 41 leading scientists, economists and health-policy experts writing in the Lancet.[5][6][7] Worldwide
2050 Epidemic The World Health Organization’s Strategic Advisory Group on Malaria Eradication (SAGEme) estimates that under even with the most optimistic scenarios, in 2050 there would still be 11 million malaria cases annually in malaria’s epicenter, Africa.[8] Africa

Meta information on the timeline

How the timeline was built

The initial version of the timeline was written by User:Sebastian.

Funding information for this timeline is available.

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What the timeline is still missing

Timeline update strategy

See also

External links

References