Speculative timeline of future malaria events

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This is a speculative timeline of future malaria events, attempting to describe estimates of future events related to the malaria disease.

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Year Event type Details Location Predictor Date of prediction
2020 Diagnosis A diagnostic tool consisting in the first ever saliva-based rapid diagnostic test (RDT) is expected to start field trials being rolled out in the Democratic Republic of Congo or Uganda in the second quarter of this year.[1] Democratic Republic of Congo, Uganda
2021 Eradication Zambia aims to eliminate malaria by this year.[2] Zambia Ministry of Health
2021 Diagnosis The world’s first ever saliva-based rapid diagnostic test (RDT) is expected to be launched by this year by South Africa-based Erada Technology Alliance, in collaboration with international partners CellFree Sciences, Frontier Institute, Johns Hopkins University and Oasis Diagnostics.[1] Africa
2021 Treatment London based medical device company MediSieve aims to launch a magnetic blood filter intended to enable doctors to remove infected red blood cells from the bloodstream directly, thus reducing parasitaemia, which would result in the usage of fewer IV drugs while minimizing hospital time – leading to cost savings.[3] United Kingdom
2040 Eradication Study finds that achieving malaria eradication by this year would prevent approximately 841 million cases of malaria and thereby decrease the number of lost workdays among agricultural households by approximately 3.2 billion days. It would also increase the number of school days attended by children by 1.5 billion days while also reducing the number of caregiving days provided by women for malaria cases by approximately 1.1 billion days.[4] Worldwide
2050 Eradication Global malaria eradication could be achieved by this time, according to a coalition of 41 leading scientists, economists and health-policy experts writing in the Lancet.[5][6][7] Worldwide
2050 Epidemic The World Health Organization’s Strategic Advisory Group on Malaria Eradication (SAGEme) estimates that under even with the most optimistic scenarios, in 2050 there would still be 11 million malaria cases annually in malaria’s epicenter, Africa.[8] Africa

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The initial version of the timeline was written by User:Sebastian.

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