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| 2010 || {{dts|April}} || || Gary Drescher proposes the "agent simulates predictor" decision problem to the decision-theory-workshop mailing list (a private mailing list for discussing decision theory).<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/q9DbfYfFzkotno9hG/example-decision-theory-problem-agent-simulates-predictor |title=Example decision theory problem: "Agent simulates predictor" |accessdate=July 25, 2018 |publisher=[[wikipedia:LessWrong|LessWrong]] |date=May 19, 2011 |first=Vladimir |last=Slepnev}}</ref> The problem would be published publicly by Vladimir Slepnev in May 2011.
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| 2011 || || || Wei Dai proposes UDT2 in a post to the decision theory workshop mailing list.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://agentfoundations.org/item?id=1078 |website=Intelligent Agent Foundations Forum |publisher=Machine Intelligence Research Institute |title=Comment on "Updatelessness and Son of X" |date=November 6, 2016 |accessdate=July 26, 2018 |quote=This does seem to be the “obvious” next step in the UDT approach. I proposed something similar as “UDT2” in a 2011 post to the “decision theory workshop” mailing list, and others have made similar proposals.}}</ref> The idea behind UDT2 would be described in a comment by Wei Dai in January 2014,<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WjXYsSqdwTY9sJ5mP/functional-side-effects#mFTEbpgufwyc7SMq2 |date=January 15, 2014 |first=Wei |last=Dai |publisher=LessWrong |title=Comment on "Functional Side Effects" |accessdate=July 26, 2018}}</ref> and by Vladimir Slepnev in a blog post in September 2013.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wXxPmc9W6kPb6i7vj/notes-on-logical-priors-from-the-miri-workshop |title=Notes on logical priors from the MIRI workshop |accessdate=July 26, 2018 |publisher=[[wikipedia:LessWrong|LessWrong]] |date=September 15, 2013 |first=Vladimir |last=Slepnev}}</ref>
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| 2014 || {{dts|April 23}} || || Daniel Hintze publishes "Problem Class Dominance in Predictive Dilemmas".<ref>{{cite web |url=https://intelligence.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Hintze-Problem-Class-Dominance-In-Predictive-Dilemmas.pdf |title=Problem Class Dominance in Predictive Dilemmas |date=April 23, 2014 |first=Daniel |last=Hintze |publisher=Machine Intelligence Research Institute}}</ref> The paper compares evidential decision theory, causal decision theory, timeless decision theory, and updateless decision theory (specifically, UDT1.1) on the decision problems Parfit's hitchhiker and the curious benefactor (equivalent to counterfactual mugging?).
