Difference between revisions of "Talk:Timeline of nuclear risk"

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| 2004 || || || || "nuclear terrorism expert Graham Allison bet some of his colleagues that terrorists would explode a nuclear bomb somewhere in the world by 2014. As he wrote afterward, “I was happy to lose those bets.”"<ref>Graham Allison, “Nuclear Terrorism: Did We Beat the Odds or Change Them?,” PRISM 7, no. 3 (2018): 2–21.</ref><ref name=Leigh/> ||  
 
| 2004 || || || || "nuclear terrorism expert Graham Allison bet some of his colleagues that terrorists would explode a nuclear bomb somewhere in the world by 2014. As he wrote afterward, “I was happy to lose those bets.”"<ref>Graham Allison, “Nuclear Terrorism: Did We Beat the Odds or Change Them?,” PRISM 7, no. 3 (2018): 2–21.</ref><ref name=Leigh/> ||  
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| 2005 || February 27 || || || "Russia and Iran conclude a nuclear fuel supply agreement in which Russia would provide fuel for the Bushehr reactor it is constructing and Iran would return the spent nuclear fuel to Russia. The arrangement is aimed at preventing Iran from extracting plutonium for nuclear weapons from the spent nuclear fuel."<ref name="armscontrol.org"/> || {{w|Iran}}, {{w|Russia}}
 
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| 2006 || || || || {{w|Robert Jervis}} "For showing, scientifically and in policy terms, how cognitive psychology, politically contextualized, can illuminate strategies for the avoidance of nuclear war." ||
 
| 2006 || || || || {{w|Robert Jervis}} "For showing, scientifically and in policy terms, how cognitive psychology, politically contextualized, can illuminate strategies for the avoidance of nuclear war." ||

Revision as of 20:18, 13 August 2023

Enlarged timeline

Year Month and date Category Event type Details Involved country
1979 "The Iranian Revolution and the seizure of the U.S. embassy in Tehran result in a severing of U.S.-Iranian ties and damages Iran’s relationship with the West. Iranian nuclear projects are halted."[1] Iran
1981 George F. Kennan is awarded the Albert Einstein Peace Prize.
1982 McGeorge Bundy, Robert McNamara, and Gerard C. Smith are awarded the Albert Einstein Peace Prize.
1983 Joseph Bernardin is awarded the Albert Einstein Peace Prize.
1984 Pierre Trudeau is awarded the Albert Einstein Peace Prize.
1984 State program Nuclear cooperation Iran receives nuclear assistance.[2] Iran
1987 Iran acquires technical schematics for building a P-1 centrifuge from the Abdul Qadeer Khan network.[1] Iran
1990 Robert Axelrod (1990) - For his imaginative use of game theory, experimentation, and computer simulation to define and test strategies for confrontation and cooperation and other models of social interaction.
1993 "Conversion of the TRR is completed by Argentina’s Applied Research Institute. It now runs on fuel enriched to just less than 20 percent, 115 kilograms of which is provided by Argentina; the contract for the conversion was signed in 1987."[1]
1993 "Conversion of the TRR is completed by Argentina’s Applied Research Institute. It now runs on fuel enriched to just less than 20 percent, 115 kilograms of which is provided by Argentina; the contract for the conversion was signed in 1987."[1]
1993 Thomas C. Schelling (1993) - For his pioneering work on the logic of military strategy, nuclear war, and arms races, which has profoundly influenced our understanding of this crucial subject.
2003 June 6 "The IAEA issues a report detailing Iranian clandestine nuclear activities that Tehran failed to report to the agency, in violation of its safeguards agreement."[3]
2003 August "In August 2003, in response to North Korea’s withdrawal from the NPT, Russia, China, Japan, the United States, and the two Koreas launched a multilateral diplomatic process, known as the six-party talks.

In September 2005, the six-party talks realized its first major success with the adoption of a joint statement in which North Korea pledged to abandon its nuclear weapons activities and return to the NPT in return for security assurances and energy assistance. In building on the 2005 statement, North Korea took steps such as disabling its plutonium reactor at Yongbyon in 2007 and allowing IAEA inspectors into the country. In return, North Korea received fuel oil. North Korea declared it would no longer be bound by agreements made under the six party talks in April 2009 after a period of increased tensions."[4]

2003 September "September 12, 2003: The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors adopts a resolution calling for Iran to suspend all enrichment – and reprocessing- related activities. The resolution requires Iran to declare all material relevant to its uranium-enrichment program and allow IAEA inspectors to conduct environmental sampling at any location. The resolution requires Iran to meet its conditions by October 31st 2003. Iran agrees to meet IAEA demands by the October 31st deadline. In a deal struck between Iran and European foreign ministers, Iran agrees to suspend its uranium–enrichment activities and ratify an additional protocol requiring Iran to provide an expanded declaration of its nuclear activities and granting the IAEA broader rights of access to sites in the country."[1] Iran
2004 January Nuclear espionage Notable case Dr. Abdul Qadeer Khan confesses to selling restricted technology to Libya, Iran, and North Korea.
2004 "nuclear terrorism expert Graham Allison bet some of his colleagues that terrorists would explode a nuclear bomb somewhere in the world by 2014. As he wrote afterward, “I was happy to lose those bets.”"[5][6]
2005 February 27 "Russia and Iran conclude a nuclear fuel supply agreement in which Russia would provide fuel for the Bushehr reactor it is constructing and Iran would return the spent nuclear fuel to Russia. The arrangement is aimed at preventing Iran from extracting plutonium for nuclear weapons from the spent nuclear fuel."[1] Iran, Russia
2006 Robert Jervis "For showing, scientifically and in policy terms, how cognitive psychology, politically contextualized, can illuminate strategies for the avoidance of nuclear war."
2012 April "KN-08 (Hwasong-13): The KN-08 is an intercontinental ballistic missile under development with an estimated range of 5,500-11,500km. Given that the system has not been tested, however, the range estimates are highly speculative. It was first unveiled in April 2012 and has not yet been tested, although North Korea likely tested the rocket engine for this system."[4] North Korea
2013 April "North Korea announced its intention to restart its Yongbyon 5MWe Reactor for plutonium production in April 2013, after disabling it as a part of the six-party talks in 2007. North Korea declared the site to be “fully operational” by late August 2015.

The reactor is capable of producing six kg of weapons-grade plutonium each year. Satellite imagery from April 2016, January 2017, and April 2018 confirmed increased activity at the reprocessing site. As of January 2018, North Korea is estimated to possess 20-40 kg of plutonium."[4] || North Korea

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named armscontrol.org
  2. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named Stulberg
  3. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named Timeline_of_the_NPT
  4. ↑ 4.0 4.1 4.2 Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named www.armsco
  5. ↑ Graham Allison, “Nuclear Terrorism: Did We Beat the Odds or Change Them?,” PRISM 7, no. 3 (2018): 2–21.
  6. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named Leigh
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