Timeline of technical analysis
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Big picture
| Time period | Development summary | More details |
|---|
Full timeline
| Year | Month and date | Event type | Details | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17th century | Early Form | Traders in the Dutch East India Company plot changes in stock prices, marking the beginning of technical analysis.[1] | |||||
| 1688 | Concept Introduction | Joseph de la Vega publishes "Confusion of Confusions," describing techniques to predict stock price movements.[1][2] | |||||
| 1710 | Futures Market | Establishment of rice futures market in Osaka, Japan, where technical analysis techniques like candlestick charting are used.[2] | |||||
| 1755 | Publication | Homma Munehisa writes "The Fountain of Gold," describing early forms of technical patterns and human emotion in trading.[2] | |||||
| 18th century | Early Form | Japanese rice traders develop candlestick charting, a technique still widely used today.[1] | |||||
| Early 18th century | Candlestick Charting | Homma Munehisa develops candlestick patterns to predict rice prices in Japan.[2] | |||||
| Late 19th century | Dow Theory | Charles Dow studies stock market data, leading to the development of Dow Theory, foundational to modern technical analysis.[2] | |||||
| Late 19th and early 20th century | Development | Charles Dow publishes editorials leading to the development of Dow Theory, foundational to modern technical analysis.[1] | |||||
| Early 20th century | Dow Theory Expansion | William Hamilton refines Dow Theory, explaining market trends using a metaphor of ocean waves.[2] | |||||
| 1932 | Publication | Robert Rhea publishes "The Dow Theory," providing further insight into Dow's work.[2] | |||||
| 1935 | March 13 | Market Prediction | Ralph Nelson Elliott predicts the market bottom using Elliott Wave Theory.[2] | ||||
| 1946 | Elliott Wave Theory | Elliott publishes his book with Charles J. Collins, officially introducing the Elliott Wave Theory.[2] | |||||
| Mid-20th century | Advancement | Introduction of computer technology allows for the development of complex mathematical models and indicators like MACD, RSI, and Bollinger Bands.[1] | |||||
| 1970s and 1980s | Popularization | Chart patterns such as head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, and triangles, along with Fibonacci retracements, become popular.[1] | |||||
| 1984 | Championship | Robert Prechter wins the U.S. Trading Championship using Elliott Wave strategy, re-introducing the theory to the public.[2] | Digital age | Accessibility | Online trading platforms and sophisticated charting software make technical analysis accessible to retail traders. Machine learning and AI open new frontiers in the field.[1] |
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How the timeline was built
The initial version of the timeline was written by FIXME.
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